July 30, 2010

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CSS-5 Mod 2 (DF-21A/B)

Country:  People's Republic of China
Alternate Name:  DF-21A
Class:  MRBM
Basing:  Road mobile
Length:  12.30 m
Diameter:  1.40 m
Launch Weight:  15200 kg
Payload:  Single warhead, 500 kg
Warhead:  Nuclear 90 kT or selectable 20, 90, 150 kT, HE, chemical, submunitions, EMP
Propulsion:  2-stage solid
Range:  2500 km
Status:  Operational
In Service:  1996

Details

The CSS-5 mod 2, known to Chinese authorities as DF-21A, is an updated version of the CSS-5, and it has most of the same properties and applications as its predecessor. It is a medium-range, road mobile, two-stage solid-propellant ballistic missile.(1)


The missile represents several advances from the earlier model: 1. Range is increased from 2150 km to 2500 km. 2. Accuracy is increased from 700 m CEP to 50 m CEP, a change which makes the missile far more effective against small or well-armored targets (like missile silos). The accuracy is improved by the use of GPS and a radar correlation terminal guidance system in the missile’s navigation system. 3. Though the payload is reduced from 600 kg to 500 kg, the newer missile can be outfitted with a greater variety of warheads. It can hold three different nuclear warheads of varying yields (20, 90, and 150 kT), an EMP, and the conventional and chemical warheads used in the earlier model.


Compared to the CSS-5, the newer model is considerably longer at 12.3 m and slightly heavier at a launch weight of 15,200 kg. The CSS-5 mod 2 has probably been deployed alongside the CSS-5, though in some cases the newer version may have replaced the original CSS-5. In total (all CSS-5 missiles, including the modified version) a 2007 report issued by the Department of Defense noted that 60-80 missiles were in operational use.


Two flight tests of the CSS-5 mod 2 were made in July and December 2002 with decoys fitted to the warheads. Though Chinese authorities denied the claim, some reports referred to the decoys as multiple warheads. In either case, these new warheads represent a considerable upgrade in the missile’s ability to foil ballistic missile defenses, especially defenses that do not focus on the boost-stage of enemy missiles.


 
Reports in 1997 suggested that Saudi Arabia was considering purchasing the CSS-5 Mod 2 to replace the CSS-2 missiles obtained from the PRC in 1987, though there are no known exports of the missile. The most recent recorded test occurred in February 2004, though it is believed that additional tests have been made that were not reported.


Another variation of the CSS-5 was reported in the development stages in 2006. This missile is known as DF-21B, though some sources refer to a DF-21D.(2) It is believed that this missile is similar in size to the CSS-5 mod 2/DF-21A, but uses a superior navigation system. This navigation system, which probably employs pop-out fins for maneuvering the re-entry vehicle and an active radar seeker, is believed to have a CEP of 10m or less. It was probably designed for deployment against large ships – and could be used to keep the United States Navy out of any dispute between China and Taiwan. This version of the CSS-5 may employ a similar RV unit to the DF-15 and carry nuclear, EMP, rod, or conventional warheads. The rod warhead would be employed against a ship’s radar and communications antenna.
 
 

Footnotes

     1. Jane's Strategic Weapons Systems, Issue 50, ed. Duncan Lennox, (Surrey, UK: Jane's Information Group, January 2009) 25-26.

     2. Mark A. Stokes, “Prepared Statement of Mark A. Stokes Executive Director Project 2049 Institute Before The U.S.China Economic and Security Review Commission Hearing on China’s Emergent Military Aerospace and Commercial Aviation Capabilities,” 20 May 2010, available at http://www.uscc.gov/hearings/2010hearings/written_testimonies/10_05_20_wrt/10_05_20_stokes_statement.pdf, accessed on 21 July 2010.

2009 Report on Chinese Military Power

March 26, 2009 :: Department of Defense :: News

The Defense Department this week released its 2009 report, Military Power of the People's Republic of China, as mandated by Congress. The annual report describes China's continued development and deployment of intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), the development of a new class of nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines, and the steady increase of medium range ballistic missiles near both the China-India border and the Chinese coast near Taiwan. China also continues to pursue both counterspace and cyberwarfare capabilities, which could threaten America's considerable reliance upon space and electronic assets.

 

As it does every year, the Chinese government reacted negatively to the report.  Foreign Ministry spokesman Qin Gang suggested that the United States "drop the Cold War thinking and prejudices, stop releasing such China military reports and stop the groundless accusations over China."

 

Ballistic and Cruise Missiles

 

China, the report observes, "has the most active land-based ballistic and cruise missile program in the world."

 

One highlight of China's missile efforts is the development of an anti-ship variant of the CSS-5 ballistic missile. This anti-ship missile has a considerable range, of some 1,500 km.  Its final stage is designed for maneuverable reentry, making its target more difficult to anticipate, and thus complicating defense against the missile.  Such a missile could enhance the Chinese ability to attack ships at sea, including for example American aircraft carriers in the Taiwan Strait.

 

Unchanged from the 2008 report, China continues to deploy road-mobile solid-fueled ICBMs—most notably the DF-31A, which brings within range any location in the continental United States. The DF-31 and DF-31A are the newest and most sophisticated ICBMs in China's arsenal.  Their mobility and solid-fuel engines also make them among the most survivable.

 

The Pentagon's estimate of China's inventory of CSS-2, CSS-3, CSS-4, DF-31, DF-31A and CSS-5 ballistic missiles remains unchanged in number from last year.  China has, however, increased its inventory since 2007 of CSS-6s (from 315-355 to 350-400), of CSS-7s (from 675-715 to 700-750), and of DH-10 cruise missiles (from 50-250 to 150-350).

 

The JL-2 submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) is still being developed. Once completed, the JL-2 will be deployed aboard new JIN-class (Type 094) submarines. With a range of 7,200 km, the JL-2 would give China its "first credible sea-based nuclear strike capability."

 

China's industrial ability to produce and upgrade short- and medium-range ballistic missiles has also increased.  The Pentagon estimates China could significantly increase the number of short range missiles it produces each year, and could even double the annual output of medium range missiles.  The increased production capability may be designed to create a missile export market, thereby proliferating such systems abroad.

 

China continues to expand the force opposite Taiwan; seven brigades are now stationed nearby, comprising a total of 1,050-1,150 CSS-6 and CSS-7 short range missiles.  China continues to augment its missiles within striking distance of Taiwan at the "rate of more than 100 per year."

 

Along its border with India, China has replaced its older liquid-fueled nuclear-capable CSS-3 intermediate range missiles with more sophisticated solid-fueled CSS-5 medium range missiles.

 

China continues to produce and purchase an array of sophisticated and accurate cruise missiles, including the DH-10 and YJ-62 land-attack cruise missiles and the Russian SS-N-22/SUNBURN supersonic air-launched cruise missile. The SS-N-27B/SIZZLER supersonic air-launched cruise missile is placed on China's KILO-class diesel electric submarines purchased from Russia. The YJ-62C, a new variant of the YJ-62, has a range of 150 nautical miles; China has reportedly deployed 120 of these to naval bases near Taiwan.

 

Submarines and Ships

 

China's growing submarine fleet could begin to pose a threat to the United States navy.  Two new SHANG-class (Type 093) nuclear-powered attack submarines and one JIN-class (Type 094) submarine, previously scheduled to enter service last year, are now operational. The JIN-class is of particular interest, as it will be the deployment vehicle for the JL-2 ballistic missile now in development.

 

These newer submarines will supplement China's four older HAN-class nuclear attack submarines and China's one XIA-class sub. The DoD estimates that China has 13 SONG-class (Type 039) diesel-electric attack submarines, designed to carry the YJ-82 (CH-SS-N-7) anti-ship cruise missile.  The next generation attack submarine is the YUAN-class SS: one of these is already operational and another is undergoing sea trials. Judging from China's purchase of diesel engines from Germany, the report estimates that China plans to build up to 15 additional YUAN-class attack submarines.

 

China's guided-missile destroyers have been hardened and are being given anti-aircraft capabilities, including both Russian and indigenous surface to air missiles (SAMs). These include the Russian SA-N-20 long-range SAM and China's own medium-range HHQ-16, a vertically launched naval SAM under development.

 

Space and Counterspace

 

Since China successfully tested a direct-ascent anti-satellite (ASAT) weapon in January 2007 using a ballistic missile, China has continued to pursue ASAT capabilities. The 2009 report describes China's interest in counterspace systems as "more than theoretical. In addition to the ‘kinetic kill' capability demonstrated by the ASAT test, the PLA is developing the ability to jam, blind, or otherwise disable satellites and their terrestrial support infrastructure."

 

China placed fifteen satellites into orbit in 2008, including four new remote sensing satellites, a manned spacecraft and a companion satellite, three communications satellites, and two satellites for meteorology. In April 2008, China launched its first data relay satellite, the TianLian-1.

 

Construction has begun for a new rocket launch facility near Wenchang to eventually place heavier payloads in space using its March V booster rocket (the world's largest) still in development.

 

China's first lunar probe, the Chang'e-1, continues to operate successfully.  Its successor will launch in 2009 and will survey the moon surface. China, however, continues to "remain silent about the military applications of [its] space programs and counterspace activities."

 

Cyberwarfare

 

China continues to experiment with cyberwarfare. The PRC appears to have been the source of numerous cyber intrusions during 2008, including against computer systems owned by the U.S. Government. These hacks were intended to extract information rather than attack, but the logistics and skill-set required for each activity are similar.

 

Spending

 

China's defense spending grew 18% in 2008. China reports its annual military budget as $60 billion, but this number is widely recognized as understated. Pentagon estimates of actual military spending range from $105 to $150 billion. (Article, Link) 

Pentagon Releases Report on Chinese Military Power

July 20, 2005 :: Department of Defense :: News

The Pentagon has released its annual report to Congress on Chinese military power, which describes China at “a strategic crossroads.” The 45-page report covers a host of topics, including Chinese military strategy and doctrine, the effects of military modernization, and an assessment of the security situation in the Taiwan Strait. “Questions remain about the basic choices China’s leaders will make as China’s power and influence grow, particularly its military power.” Of particular note is attention to such themes as China’s defense spending, strategic missile forces, the increasing number of short range missiles deployed near Taiwan, space policy, and the threat posed by a high-altitude electromagnetic pulse. (More »»») 

China Military Exercise May Have Included Test of DF-31, Other Missiles

July 27, 2004 :: News

Two weeks ago, several reports indicated that China that it would be testing three missiles during its large military exercises preparing for an assault against Taiwan. The missiles included the DF-31 ICBM, as well as the DF-21 and the JL-2. Two Chinese news services, People’s Daily and Xinhau noted on July 22 that China had notified Russia of its intent to conduct the test during its military exercise, which have since taken place, on July 26. A subsequent report by East Asia Intel suggested that the test would not include the DF-21, since that test had apparently already taken place earlier this year.
        Since there has been little media coverage of China’s exercises, it remains unclear if the missile tests were carried out as planned.  (Link) 

Chinese Missile Tests, Wargames, to Intimidate Taiwan

July 13, 2004 :: Reuters :: News

China plans to conduct a large military exercise later this month to demonstrate its military and especially air superiority to neighboring Taiwan. The exercise to take place at Dongshan island, 150 miles from Taiwan, is said to include several ballistic missile tests as well, including the medium range DF-21 (CSS-5), the mobile, long range DF-31 (CSS-9) ICBM, and the submarine launched version of the DF-31, the JL-2 (CSS-NX-5), reports the Russian Itar-Tass news agency. One year ago, in June 2003, Bill Gertz reported that China planned to test the same three missiles in the coming month.
        It is worth noting that Beijing’s test will coincide with the visit to China by National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice. Since China would have no need to use an ICBM against such a near target as Taiwan, one must suppose that the launch of two ICBMs, the DF-31 and JL-2, could be a signal to the United States that it should not interfere with a Chinese attack on the island.
        Itar-Tass claims that the test will be of a new version of the DF-31, with an increased range and multiple warhead capability. The two land-based missiles will reportedly be fired from the Wuzhai testing ground in Shanxi Province, and will be directed at China’s northeast, the Lop Nur test range. A Chinese government report released July 4 describes the test as both the “largest scale exercise this year,” and that it is meant to serve a “substantial warning” to Taiwan. (Article, Link) 

China Set to Test Missiles

June 20, 2003 :: Inside the Ring (Washington Times) :: News

China is reportedly planning to test three missiles in the coming weeks, the new long-range and mobile DF-31, the medium range DF-21, and the JL-2 SLBM. (Article, Link) 

Chinese CSS-5 Test May Have Included Anti-BMD Countermeasures

September 1, 2002 :: Jane's Information Group :: News

The September 1 edition of Janes Missiles and Rockets reports that the early July test of their CSS-5 ballistic missile (range 2,150-2,500km) may have included the test of countermeasures, desinged to overcome ballistic missile defenses, such as those the United States will deploy around 2004-2005, after the June 13, 2002 withdrawal from the ABM Treaty. 
         If true, the timing of the test of countermeasures may very likely suggest a “message” to the United States that China will do all within its power to retain a strong offensive nuclear capability against America.
         Janes cites US press reports that the missile test involved the deploying of six or seven decoy warheads besides its main payload warhead. The CSS-5 can carry a high explosive or a nuclear warhead of up to 300 kT yield. 
         This particular test of the CSS-5, or DF-21, began with a launch from the Jiangxi province and traveling some 1,300 km into the Kansu province. The DF-21 has a solid propellant, more advanced than liquid propellants and capable of much faster launch readiness.
         According to Janes, China’s IRBM force is said to be located in the provinces of Datong in central China, Jianshui in southern China, Tonghua in northeast China, and Lianxiwang in western China. (Link) 

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